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Understanding the budget bill’s toll on older adults: Telling the story

Understanding the budget bill’s toll on older adults: Telling the story


The recent passage of the Budget Reconciliation Act of 2025 (H.R. 1) has raised significant concerns regarding its potential impact on older adults in the United States. Advocates for senior citizens argue that the bill imposes severe reductions to critical programs like Medicaid, Medicare, and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), which are vital for many older Americans. While the administration claims that seniors will not lose benefits, many advocates are pushing back against this assertion, highlighting serious implications for health care, food assistance, and essential support systems.

Experts Rachel Werner, M.D., Ph.D., and Amber Christ emphasize that the bill’s provisions disproportionately affect low-income seniors. As Christ notably remarked in a recent webinar, “This bill paid for tax cuts for the wealthiest by cutting public programs for those with the lowest incomes.” Given that most older adults rely on limited financial resources, advocates warn that the adjustments stipulated in the budget may lead to heightened challenges for this demographic.

### Key Cuts and Their Implications

The Budget Reconciliation Act proposes approximately $990 billion in cuts to Medicaid and $186 billion from SNAP over the next decade. According to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), over 1.3 million older adults may lose Medicaid coverage due to restructured eligibility rules. These losses have ripple effects, particularly for vulnerable populations including those who are dually eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid.

#### The Dually Eligible Population

Approximately 12.5 million individuals rely on both Medicare and Medicaid, with many depending on Medicaid for premium assistance and essential long-term care supports. As Werner points out, this population tends to be exceptionally vulnerable, often living on incomes below $20,000, with a significant portion being people of color in poor health. The impending cuts threaten to diminish access to home care, prescription medications, and necessary transportation services.

#### Impact on Pre-Medicare Adults

Almost 5 million adults aged 50 to 64 receive coverage through Medicaid expansion or the ACA marketplace. An expiration of enhanced premium tax credits by 2025 will likely drive monthly costs significantly higher. Such increases could lead to delayed retirements or compel individuals to incur debt, further straining their financial stability as they transition to Medicare.

#### Broader Medicare Implications

The fiscal deficits resulting from the Budget Reconciliation Act appraise at around $3.1 trillion. If Congress fails to act, automatic cuts based on existing laws could enforce a roughly 4% reduction in Medicare funding, amounting to approximately $500 billion. The historical reluctance of Congress to allow such cuts complicates predictions regarding future healthcare financing.

### Mechanisms of Change

Rather than simple cuts, the H.R. 1 bill introduces various barriers ensuring that fewer individuals qualify for assistance. This includes new work requirements and complex re-determination processes that may confuse or deter eligible participants from maintaining coverage. This bureaucratic red tape particularly impacts older adults, who could inadvertently drop off Medicaid rolls, not through a change in eligibility but through missed deadlines or paperwork.

#### Effects on Medicare Savings Programs

The Medicare Shared Savings Program, which assists low-income beneficiaries with out-of-pocket costs, faces a troubling ten-year moratorium on simplified enrollment. The consequences could be dire, with experts estimating that approximately 1.38 million low-income beneficiaries could ultimately lose dual coverage, leading to significant health ramifications including a rise in mortality rates due to lack of prescription drug access.

### Direct Care Workforce and Nutrition Assistance

Medicaid also plays a crucial role in supporting home and community-based services (HCBS), which enable older adults to remain in their homes. Reductions in funding for these services may ultimately lead to increased long-term costs as more seniors are forced into nursing homes. Advocacy organizations are concerned that cuts to Medicaid reimbursement rates will exacerbate staffing shortages in the direct care workforce, which is already facing significant challenges.

Moreover, the impending cuts to SNAP represent a serious threat to food security for older adults. With a proposed reduction of $186 billion over the next decade, new work mandates could disqualify many seniors from eligibility while simultaneously shrinking household benefits. This will likely lead to a rise in food insecurity and hunger among the older population.

#### The Elimination of Federal Aging Programs

In a broader context, the administration’s reorganization proposal for fiscal year 2026 aims to dismantle the Administration for Community Living and transfer many programs to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services with drastically reduced funding. This may result in significant loss of services that cater specifically to the needs of older adults.

### Questions for Policymakers

To navigate these complex changes, policymakers must be interrogated about how they intend to manage the fallout from reduced federal support. Specifically:

– How will state Medicaid agencies address the financial shortfalls?
– What contingency plans are in place to protect dual-eligible seniors if the Medicare Savings Program ceases?
– How will SNAP’s new rules impact multi-generational households that include seniors?
– What aging services could be lost through the transition from the Administration for Community Living to CMS?
– How are local home care agencies coping with workforce shortages due to funding cuts?

### Story Ideas for Further Exploration

Numerous avenues exist for reporting on the real-world implications of these budget cuts. For instance, examining how Medicaid and SNAP cuts disproportionately impact women and older adults of color can substantiate the narrative of equity in healthcare. Local interviews with area agencies on aging or services like Meals on Wheels can uncover the actual challenges faced in communities. Additionally, comparing projected savings to the potential increases in nursing home or emergency care costs will shed light on the broader economic implications of the cuts.

In conclusion, the Budget Reconciliation Act of 2025 brings substantial changes that threaten the well-being of older adults. As communities navigate these changes, awareness and active reporting will be essential to bring attention to the challenges elderly Americans face in accessing critical services, thereby fostering a collective dialogue on protecting one of the nation’s most vulnerable populations.

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