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PFT’s Week 3 2025 NFL picks: Florio vs. Simms

PFT’s Week 3 2025 NFL picks: Florio vs. Simms


As we enter Week 3 of the 2025 NFL season, the competition is heating up. The ongoing contest between Mike Florio and Chris Simms continues to captivate both fans and critics alike. With a remarkable record in their disagreements, the picks from these two analysts are not only a source of entertainment but also a lens through which we can analyze team dynamics, performances, and likely outcomes.

### Current Standings and Trends

Florio currently holds an impressive lead with a 26-6 overall record, significantly outperforming Simms, who stands at 17-15. Despite this disparity, both analysts have shown consistent results against the spread, where Florio is at 18-14 and Simms at 12-20. Florio’s knack for predicting outcomes accurately has led him to dominate their weekly picks while also suggesting a careful analysis of matchups, including team strengths, weaknesses, and current momentum.

### Week 3 Matchups Analysis

#### Dolphins at Bills (-12.5)

The matchup between the Dolphins and Bills promises to be an exciting encounter. Mike McDaniel, the Dolphins’ head coach, has labeled the short week after a loss as a “blessing.” However, playing in Buffalo presents a daunting challenge. Florio predicts a 35-20 victory for the Bills, while Simms leans toward an even larger gap with a predicted score of 41-24. The anticipated offensive prowess from Buffalo could overshadow the Dolphins’ efforts.

#### Falcons (-5.5) at Panthers

In this NFC South showdown, desperation may fuel the Panthers, but the Falcons should hold an edge, especially with Bijan Robinson leading the charge. Florio’s prediction of 23-20 in favor of Atlanta is slightly more conservative compared to Simms’ 27-17 projection, indicating an expected competitive spirit from Carolina.

#### Packers (-8.5) at Browns

The Packers have started the season strong and represent a ‘team of destiny’ narrative that fans and analysts are starting to embrace. With Florio predicting a 24-9 outcome, it appears he trusts Green Bay’s consistency. Simms, agreeing on the Packers’ superiority, forecasts a narrower win at 27-13.

#### Texans at Jaguars (-2.5)

The Texans are still seeking their first win, facing a Jaguars team that has stumbled out of the gate. Florio’s prediction of 23-20 showcases his belief in an upset, while Simms expects the Jaguars to secure a victory at 23-20, indicating a close contest.

#### Bengals at Vikings (-3)

With injury challenges disrupting their season, the Bengals are heavily relying on Jake Browning, while the Vikings have stable quarterback experience with Carson Wentz. Both analysts foresee a close matchup; Florio predicts a 23-21 win for the Vikings, with Simms slightly leaning towards them at 20-19.

#### Steelers (-1.5) at Patriots

This game is pivotal for the Steelers, who need to bounce back against a struggling Patriots squad. Florio expects a 30-24 victory, while Simms anticipates a close 28-24 finish.

#### Rams at Eagles (-1.5)

A battle of strategic coaching styles is at play here, as Rams’ Sean McVay seeks to counter the Eagles’ formidable tactics. Florio’s prediction of 26-22 for the Eagles contrasts with Simms’ slight favoring of the Rams, claiming they might edge this one out at 24-21.

#### Jets at Buccaneers (-7)

The Buccaneers have continued to impress early in the season despite challenges. Both analysts see the Bucs prevailing here, with Florio predicting a 24-13 final score and Simms offering a slightly higher forecast at 28-20.

#### Colts (-4.5) at Titans

This matchup isn’t one to underestimate as both teams seek their strides early in the season. Florio takes a risk by choosing the Titans, suggesting they will win 17-16, while Simms remains confident in the Colts at 24-13.

#### Raiders at Commanders (-3)

With a compressed travel schedule, the Raiders face an uphill battle against the Commanders, who have had the advantage of more rest. Florio predicts a 24-17 victory for Washington. Simms shares this sentiment with a narrow forecast of 21-17.

#### Broncos at Chargers (-2.5)

The Chargers’ solid defense is likely to challenge the Broncos, and both analysts foresee the Chargers winning, with Florio predicting a score of 23-17 and Simms with a similar 23-21 outcome.

#### Saints at Seahawks (-7)

The Seahawks are gaining traction following a significant win against the Steelers. Florio predicts them to continue this momentum with a 30-20 victory over the Saints, while Simms also forecasts a win at 27-14, reinforcing their confidence in Seattle.

#### Cowboys (-1.5) at Bears

This matchup promises to be high-scoring, with anticipation of big plays from both teams. Florio predicts the Cowboys will take it at 27-24, whereas Simms throws a curveball with his pick of Bears winning at 31-28.

#### Cardinals at 49ers (-2.5)

The Cardinals face a pivotal test against the potentially dominant 49ers. Both analysts lean toward the 49ers winning, with Florio at 24-20 and Simms at 19-14, marking a belief in the 49ers’ resilience despite facing a tough opponent.

#### Chiefs (-6) at Giants

The Chiefs, needing a win to build momentum, are favored here. Florio predicts a decisive 34-17 victory while Simms sees a closer contest at 24-17.

#### Lions at Ravens (-4.5)

In a rematch of their previous encounters, the Ravens are slightly favored. Florio predicts a close 30-27 finish in favor of Baltimore, while Simms anticipates a more commanding victory at 34-24.

### Conclusion

As Week 3 unfolds, both Florio and Simms offer keen insights into each matchup, balancing statistical analysis with intuition. The ongoing rivalry between the two adds an engaging layer to NFL predictions, providing fans a deeper connection to the unfolding season. With this week’s picks, we are reminded that in the NFL, anything can happen. Each game is a new opportunity for teams to cement their legacies or turn their seasons around. The picks not only serve as forecasts but as a reflection of the ever-changing narratives in professional football.

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