Home / NEWS / Numbers behind Yankees’ historic cold snap, Aaron Judge’s slump and how they impact playoff chances, MVP odds

Numbers behind Yankees’ historic cold snap, Aaron Judge’s slump and how they impact playoff chances, MVP odds

Numbers behind Yankees’ historic cold snap, Aaron Judge’s slump and how they impact playoff chances, MVP odds


The New York Yankees are currently experiencing a historically troubling slump, one that has fans and analysts alike pondering the implications for their playoff chances. For the first time in nearly a decade, the Yankees have been shut out in three consecutive games, marking a franchise record. This dismal performance was capped with a disheartening 4-0 defeat against the Los Angeles Angels, bringing their losing streak to five games. Over these six contests, the team has managed to score a mere five runs.

The atmosphere around Yankee Stadium has become increasingly tense, prompting speculation about how the team will rebound. A players-only meeting was rumored to have occurred following the latest loss, though Yankees manager Aaron Boone downplayed the significance, referring to it instead as “postgame chatter.” Regardless of the label, it was clear that players felt the need to address the downward spiral. Cody Bellinger, one of the players, mentioned, “We discussed remembering who we are and continuing to stick with our approach.” It is a sentiment that echoes throughout the locker room during tough times.

Central to the Yankees’ struggles is reigning American League MVP Aaron Judge. Despite leading the league in various offensive metrics, Judge has recently fallen into a slump, contributing to the team’s struggles. He boasts an impressive batting average of .372 and on-base percentage of .469, yet in the last seven games, he has only managed three hits while striking out 15 times. Judge’s performance is not just a personal concern; it is emblematic of a broader issue affecting the entire Yankees lineup.

Historically, when Judge slumps, it seems to coincide with the team’s offensive downturn. This pattern is evident in the current stretch, as Judge is chasing more pitches outside the strike zone, leading to missed opportunities and weak contact when he makes contact. His chase rate—a statistic that indicates how often a player swings at pitches outside the strike zone—has recently risen to league average, suggesting he is not exercising the discipline that has characterized much of his successful season.

Boone addressed Judge’s issues during a postgame interview, noting, “It’s just the inevitable ebbs and flows of it. Probably has left the zone a little more than he normally does. No one more capable of getting right back on track than him.” This sentiment of reassurance reflects Boone’s belief in Judge’s abilities to turn things around.

The issue, however, is not limited to Judge. The Yankees as a collective unit are batting an astonishing .164 with a mere .227 on-base percentage during this six-game stretch. Alarmingly, it’s been 71 innings since any Yankee player aside from Judge hit a home run—a stark indication that the offensive drought extends beyond their star slugger.

Yet, there is a silver lining for the Yankees. Their pitching staff has been performing exceptionally well during this tough phase, evidenced by a remarkable 1.48 ERA over the last six games. This strong pitching has allowed the Yankees to remain competitive, as they’ve been in every game despite their offensive failings. The struggle has often felt like a tense chess match—just one swing away from breaking the ice.

Importantly, while this slump feels severe, it has not dramatically affected the Yankees’ playoff chances. After a five-game losing streak, their postseason odds dipped slightly from 98.9% to 95.7%, as reported by FanGraphs. Even their chances of winning the AL East remain relatively strong, sitting at 74.7%, buoyed by the cushion created during a successful April and May.

The early wins have provided a safety net that allows the Yankees to weather this mid-season funk. Nevertheless, the connection between Judge’s performance and the team’s overall success is undeniable. When Judge is locked in, the entire team seems to rise with him; conversely, when he struggles, the impact is felt throughout the lineup.

Boone recognized this dynamic, suggesting that the pressure to perform may be self-imposed as players scramble to rectify the situation. “Maybe they’re feeling like they’ve gotta get something going. We’ve gotta let it happen. We’ve gotta go out, really focus on having quality at-bats, and that will happen. We’ll get there,” he remarked after the team’s latest defeat.

This is a critical juncture for the Yankees. The combination of a struggling offense and high expectations puts added pressure on both players and coaching staff alike. With the playoffs looming on the horizon, it’s essential for the Yankees to find their rhythm. Quality at-bats, patience at the plate, and breaking free from the current trend of chasing pitches could be the keys to reviving their season.

Fans are hoping for a resurgence as the team works to refine its approach. For many, the Yankees’ performance over the coming weeks will determine not only their playoff positions but also the perception of a roster loaded with talent that has, thus far, underperformed.

In summary, the New York Yankees face an uphill battle as they navigate this difficult phase. With their star player Aaron Judge in a slump, the entire lineup feels the strain. The impressive pitching staff may provide a glimmer of hope, yet the bats need to wake up for the team to have a successful journey to the postseason. As the Yankees rally to reclaim their identity, their playoff chances remain intact—if only they can find their stride once again.

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