In the realm of Polish politics, a recent parliamentary poll conducted between August 18 and 21, 2025, sheds light on the current dynamics among major parties. Administered through computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) for 90% of respondents and 10% via online surveys (CAWI), this poll surveyed a sample of 1,000 adult residents across Poland. The results indicate significant developments that could reshape the political landscape ahead of forthcoming elections.
As per the findings, if elections were held mid-August, both the Civic Coalition (KO) and the Law and Justice party (PiS) would receive 30% of the votes. This marks an increase for both parties compared to the previous month—KO seeing a rise of 2 percentage points and PiS gaining 3 percentage points. This tie at the top is noteworthy, as it reflects a competitive atmosphere between the two main parties.
On the third tier, the Confederation, led by Krzysztof Bosak, maintains a consistent stance with 12% of the vote share, unchanged from the previous month’s survey. However, the shifting tides appear to favor established parties as newer or smaller factions face challenges.
Notably, the Left Party garnered 7% of the votes, illustrating a slight upward trend with an increase of 1 percentage point. Conversely, the Razem Party has experienced a decrease, now standing at 5%, a drop of 1 percentage point from the last survey. Furthermore, the lesser-known Konfederacja Korony Polskiej has faced a substantial decline, plummeting to 3%—a decrease of 5 percentage points. This significant drop could indicate waning support or lack of visibility for this party among the electorate.
Interestingly, Poland 2050, led by Szymon Hołownia, saw a slight dip as well, now at 2% (down 1 percentage point). Meanwhile, the Polish People’s Party (PSL) remains steady with a consistent 1% showing. The poll also revealed that a notable 9% of respondents are undecided regarding their support, suggesting potential fluidity in voter sentiments as the elections approach.
Voter turnout is expected to hover around an impressive 84%, a slight decrease of 1 percentage point from the prior month. While turnout predictions are optimistic, they can fluctuate depending on various campaign factors as the election date draws nearer.
In summary, the latest parliamentary poll reflects a competitive landscape between KO and PiS, both leading at 30%. Smaller parties are struggling or showing signs of stagnation, pointing towards a consolidating electorate around the more established factions. As political discourse continues and campaigns gain momentum, the eventual outcomes could reflect these dynamics, revealing the evolving preferences of Polish voters as they head towards the polls.
Overall, staying updated with these trends is vital for analysts and political enthusiasts alike, as they provide a glimpse into possible shifts in power and the prevailing sentiments of the populace ahead of critical elections.
### Conclusion
The current political climate in Poland, as illustrated by this parliamentary poll, indicates a robust competition between the leading parties and ongoing challenges for the smaller factions. With both KO and PiS at 30% and rising, a renewed focus on voter engagement strategies may be necessary for other parties to enhance their visibility and relevance in the political arena. As the electoral landscape progresses, it will be intriguing to observe how these shifts influence the future of Polish governance and policymaking.
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