As we approach Week 3 of the 2025 NFL season, Matthew Berry offers valuable insights that can help fantasy football enthusiasts navigate their lineups more effectively. Berry’s expertise shines in his focus on stats that often go unnoticed, particularly when assessing borderline players. Let’s delve into ten crucial facts to guide your decisions this week.
1. Bears Defense in Peril Against Pass:
The Chicago Bears currently lead the league in allowing touchdown passes, which puts their secondary under significant pressure. They rank second to last in pressure rate and third in yards allowed per completion. With top corner Jaylon Johnson sidelined, Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott stands to benefit significantly—making him a compelling start this week.
2. Steelers’ Weakness in the Secondary:
The Pittsburgh Steelers have been vulnerable, allowing the fifth-most yards per pass attempt. Given their opponents through two games—Justin Fields and Sam Darnold—this statistic becomes even more alarming. The New England Patriots, known for their aggressive passing game, may exploit this weakness effectively. This creates an opportunity for players like Mac Jones and his receiving corps.
3. Jordan Mason’s Hidden Potential:
Despite sharing touches with Aaron Jones, Jordan Mason has maintained a solid target share, and with Jones likely out, Mason could see increased opportunities. Historically, in games where he garners at least 15 touches, Mason has averaged an impressive 94 rushing yards. Facing the Cincinnati Bengals, who recently allowed 5.3 yards per carry to Jacksonville RBs, Mason’s projected performance could be promising.
4. Bhayshul Tuten’s Emerging Role:
In his recent outing, Tuten displayed efficiency with 74 rushing yards on just 10 touches, yielding an impressive 7.4 yards per touch. This week, facing a Houston Texans defense that has struggled against running backs, Tuten represents an intriguing waiver-wire option, as he is available in about 40% of leagues.
5. Tony Pollard’s Snap Share:
No other running back has a higher snap rate than Tony Pollard, who is averaging 19.5 touches per game. The Indianapolis Colts, allowing five yards per carry, present a favorable matchup for Pollard, enhancing his value in lineups this week.
6. Darnell Mooney’s Full Participation:
After returning from injury, Darnell Mooney showcased his skills with 100% route participation. Coming off a season as WR35 and available in over half of leagues, Mooney could be a strong start against the Carolina Panthers, aiming to establish chemistry with Justin Fields.
7. Troy Franklin Leads Broncos:
Surprisingly, Troy Franklin has emerged as the leading receiver for the Denver Broncos through the first two games. With a significant target share and a chance to exploit mismatches this week, Franklin could be a valuable depth addition for fantasy rosters.
8. Wan’Dale Robinson’s Target Potential:
Robinson has maintained an impressive target share of over 25% in both games this season. As the New York Giants prepare to face the Kansas City Chiefs, who give up the most catch rate to slot receivers, Robinson’s contributions could significantly bolster your fantasy team.
9. Harold Fannin’s Consistency:
Harold Fannin has been a reliable target this year, recording at least five receptions in every game played. As he matches up against the Green Bay Packers, who struggle against tight ends, Fannin presents a solid streaming option for those in need of tight-end help.
10. Juwan Johnson’s Breakout Potential:
With one of the highest target shares among tight ends and solid fantasy production, Juwan Johnson remains a hidden gem, still available in 30% of fantasy leagues. His performance could be pivotal for teams looking for tight end consistency moving forward.
Conclusion
As we gear up for the third week of the NFL season, the insights shared in these statistics not only shed light on valuable player potential but also signify match-up trends that could greatly influence fantasy success. Paying attention to these nuanced details can help fantasy managers make informed starting decisions, capitalize on opportunities, and navigate the complexities of the ever-evolving fantasy football landscape.
By focusing on players flying under the radar and evaluating emerging trends, you can position your fantasy team for optimal success as the season unfolds. Whether you’re looking for an immediate boost or long-term value, the names mentioned in Berry’s report can help you refine your roster and make strategic choices in the coming weeks.