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Mariners vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Picks – September 26

Mariners vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds, Picks – September 26

As the Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Dodgers prepare to face off at T-Mobile Park on September 26, 2025, fans and bettors alike are eager to gauge the match-up. This article delves into the latest insights on the game, with a focus on predictions, odds, and players to watch.

Overview of the Matchup

Both teams have shown commendable performance throughout the season, but current trends and statistics provide further context. The Mariners, with a moneyline of -152, are favored against the underdog Dodgers at +128. Seattle also stands as a 1.5-run favorite. The over/under for the game is set at 7 runs, indicating expectations of a competitive matchup.

Mariners’ Season Performance

The Seattle Mariners have become a formidable force in their league this season. With a record of 90-62, the Mariners have secured 66 wins as the favorite, illustrating a robust 59.5% success rate. Notably, when favored by -152 or more, their win rate jumps to an impressive 69.6%.

Recent performance further emphasizes their dominance. Over the past ten games, the Mariners boast a 9-1 record and have averaged 6.6 runs per game, supported by a strong team ERA of 2.83. Their potent offense is highlighted by standout players such as Cal Raleigh, who leads the league with 60 home runs and is second in RBIs with 125. Key players also include Julio Rodriguez, who contributes significantly to the lineup with 32 home runs and a .268 batting average, and Josh Naylor, who is on an 11-game hitting streak.

Dodgers’ Season Recap

On the other hand, the Dodgers, currently holding a 82-70 record, face a challenging scenario as underdogs for the first time in their last ten matchups. Despite a commendable season, they have only won 47.1% of their games as underdogs. Their recent form also indicates some inconsistencies, with a 6-4 record in their last ten games.

The Dodgers feature star players like Shohei Ohtani, who is having a stellar season, hitting 54 home runs and accumulating 101 RBIs. Mookie Betts, with 20 home runs and a .262 batting average, also plays a crucial role in the lineup. However, as a team, the Dodgers have produced fewer runs per game than the Mariners, averaging 4.9 runs this season.

Betting Insights

From a betting perspective, the Mariners appear to be a safer bet based on their performance metrics. Their combination of formidable batting and strong pitching gives them a slight edge in this matchup. Consulting the current odds:

  • Favorite: Mariners -152
  • Underdog: Dodgers +128
  • Run Line: Mariners -1.5 (+151)
  • Total Runs: 7
  • Over Odds: -103
  • Under Odds: -117

The implied probability based on moneyline odds suggests a 60.3% chance of victory for the Mariners and a 43.9% chance for the Dodgers.

Predictions for the Game

Considering the data and recent performances, the score prediction leans in favor of the Mariners with a potential outcome of 5-4. Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games recently, as the Mariners have gone over the run total in seven of their last ten matchups, which further validates the over prediction for this game.

Key Players to Watch

  1. Cal Raleigh (Mariners): With his league-leading home run count and impressive RBIs, Raleigh is essential in driving the Mariners’ offense. His ability to deliver key hits will be pivotal in the matchup.

  2. Julio Rodriguez (Mariners): A consistent contributor, Rodriguez’s combination of speed and power makes him a player to watch. His presence on the base paths can significantly alter the game’s dynamics.

  3. Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): As one of the most dynamic players in baseball, Ohtani’s performance can change the tide for the Dodgers. His ability to hit for power and contribute on the mound adds layers to the game.

  4. Freddie Freeman (Dodgers): Maintaining a high batting average, Freeman’s experience will be crucial in driving in runs and providing stability at the plate.

Conclusion

As the Mariners and Dodgers gear up for this highly anticipated matchup, it is essential to consider trends, statistics, and player insights when placing bets. The Mariners appear to hold the advantage as the favorite, driven by their recent successes and formidable lineup. However, the unpredictability of baseball means that the underdog Dodgers will be looking to upset the odds.

For bettors, aligning their strategy with a thorough understanding of each team’s capabilities, alongside the current odds and trends, can enhance their chances of success. Whether fans are watching for the joy of the game or placing wagers, this Mariners vs. Dodgers matchup promises to be a compelling showdown under the lights in Seattle.

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