Hurricane season starts in the Atlantic Ocean : NPR

As the calendar turns to June 1, individuals living along the Atlantic Ocean are reminded that the hurricane season is upon us once again. This year, forecasters are warning of a potentially above-average strike of storms, with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicting that between 13 to 19 named storms could form from June 1 to November 30. Historically, the average number of storms stands at about 14 each year, based on data collected from 1991 to 2020. The rising ocean temperatures are cited as significant contributors to this anticipated activity, as warmer water fuels storm formation, leading to increased wind speeds and rainfall.

In preparation for the season, experts stress the criticality of early preparation, even for those living inland. “It takes only one storm near you to make this an active season for you,” remarked Professor Michael Bell, who leads Colorado State University’s Tropical Cyclones, Radar, Atmospheric Modeling, and Software Team. This warning serves as a reminder that hurricanes can impact vast areas, far beyond the immediate coastal regions.

The storms are particularly worrisome because even those that don’t reach hurricane status can still unleash deadly floods. Water-related hazards, in fact, continue to be the leading cause of death for those affected by hurricanes making landfall. Meteorologists emphasize the need for all communities—not just those on the coast—to be prepared for the impacts brought about by tropical storms or hurricanes. As AccuWeather’s chief meteorologist Jon Porter pointed out, “We want people now to take the advantage of the opportunity to best prepare, both at the coast and then well inland.”

Climate change has become a much-discussed factor in increasing storm intensity and frequency. Experts observe that as global temperatures rise, storms are carrying more moisture, which can lead to increased rainfall and subsequent flooding, sometimes occurring far from the coast. “Hurricanes can have significant inland impacts,” stated Michael Brennan, director of NOAA’s National Hurricane Center. This has fueled urgent calls from meteorologists for inland communities to understand the risks associated with flooding, which has been a significant source of fatalities in recent hurricane events.

The potential for flooding has raised concerns even among scientists studying climate-related changes. However, there are fears that substantial budget cuts proposed for NOAA could undermine ongoing improvements in storm prediction and safety. Under recent budgetary pressures, including proposed reductions in funding for crucial research and satellite operations, NOAA has already experienced a noticeable loss in workforce. Reports indicate that more than 500 employees have departed the National Weather Service due to budget cuts introduced by the Trump administration.

The consequences of these staffing shortages could be significant as the hurricane season progresses. “I don’t think the current situation is sustainable,” said Brian LaMarre, a former meteorologist from the National Weather Service. The pressure upon remaining staff, coupled with reduced operational capacity, raises serious concerns about the accuracy and effectiveness of predictions and warnings in the face of increasingly severe storms.

Although challenges loom regarding staffing and funding, NOAA officials remain hopeful that the agency’s utilization of advanced weather models will allow them to provide timely and accurate forecasts. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has expressed confidence in NOAA’s ability to utilize the latest hurricane tracking systems to keep Americans informed about impending storms. As Brennan confirmed, the National Hurricane Center is prepared to address the needs of emergency management agencies across the nation, a commitment that underscores the importance of community readiness.

Turning to storm predictions, NOAA has forecasted that between six to ten of this year’s anticipated storms will escalate into full-blown hurricanes, defined by sustained winds of 74 mph or higher. Among those, three to five could be categorized as major hurricanes, featuring winds exceeding 111 mph. Other forecasters, such as those from Colorado State University and AccuWeather, have similar predictions for the season, collectively emphasizing the need for vigilance.

Reflecting on last year’s hurricane season, which saw 18 named storms and five hurricanes that made landfall in the U.S., the devastating toll of these storms has left an indelible mark on affected communities. For instance, Hurricane Helene tragically claimed more than 200 lives and inflicted severe flooding across the southeastern U.S., while Hurricane Milton caused upwards of $34.3 billion in damage in southern Florida.

As we look ahead to this hurricane season, NOAA and meteorologists across the nation urge communities to prepare thoroughly and take the necessary precautions. A list of names for the 2025 storm season has already been designated by the World Meteorological Organization, providing a stark reminder that the Atlantic Ocean’s hurricane season is not only about weather but also about human lives and safety. Storm names such as Andrea, Barry, and Chantal will soon be on everyone’s radar as communities brace for the unpredictable paths of these impending storms.

In conclusion, as we move into a season that holds the potential for both destruction and resilience, it is essential to stay informed, heed warnings, and prepare diligently. The combination of climate change, increased storm activity, and potential budget limitations on forecasting underscores the urgency of community preparedness. By coming together and taking proactive measures, we can collectively navigate the impending challenges of hurricane season with strength and resolve.

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