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crypto’s October reckoning beyond the $20B washout

crypto’s October reckoning beyond the B washout


The cryptocurrency market has always been characterized by extreme volatility and fierce trading dynamics. The recent events surrounding October 10, 2025, known as crypto’s October reckoning, serve as a salient reminder of the market’s unpredictable nature. This day marked a significant downturn, during which more than $20 billion was wiped out due to a combination of macroeconomic factors and systemic issues within the crypto markets.

### The Anatomy of a Crypto Market Meltdown

On October 10, a blend of escalating global trade tensions and tariff announcements triggered a “risk-off” sentiment among investors. In a matter of hours, Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, experienced a staggering 13% drop. Many altcoins, particularly those with lower liquidity, fared worse; for instance, ATOM saw its price plummet to nearly zero on less liquid exchanges before recovering.

The fallout was swift and severe—over $20 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated across various centralized and decentralized trading platforms. This event was described by Jonathan Man, a portfolio manager at Bitwise, as the largest liquidation event in crypto history. The repercussions were felt across the market, as more than $65 billion in open interest disappeared overnight, resetting market positioning to levels seen months earlier.

### Who Really Got Washout?

It’s easy to assume that retail investors were the primary victims of this event, but that narrative is misleading. As Scott Melker, known as the “Wolf of All Streets,” noted, the major players affected were crypto veterans—traders and crypto enthusiasts who had engaged in high-leverage trading on decentralized exchanges. These were not novice investors but individuals deeply integrated into the market.

In fact, data indicates that new retail investors are increasingly opting for direct spot purchases or large-cap exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which are less susceptible to the internal mechanics of decentralized finance (DeFi) leverage. The traders who found their positions liquidated were primarily utilizing high-leverage perpetual contracts, underscoring that the casualties of this event were experienced participants rather than newcomers.

### Why Was the Damage So Extreme?

The extreme damage came primarily from the market structure surrounding perpetual futures, which operate as a zero-sum game. In normal conditions, when positions are liquidated, they are typically absorbed without major disruptions. However, during this crisis, volatility spiked, leading liquidity providers to withdraw from the scene. This withdrawal created a thin order book for altcoins, resulting in disproportionate price movements, while auto-deleveraging mechanisms further exacerbated the situation, cutting off even profitable traders from exiting their positions.

Some platforms managed to adapt and benefit from the chaos. For instance, decentralized exchanges like Hyperliquid maintained robust on-chain liquidity pools that capitalized on forced sales, allowing them to absorb some of the market’s turbulence while other traders faced losses.

### The Distinction Between CeFi and DeFi

The outcome of the October reckoning was markedly different across centralized (CeFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems. Centralized exchanges faced severe cascading liquidations, particularly among long-tail tokens, while many DeFi platforms emerged relatively unscathed due to their stringent collateral requirements and automated price mechanisms.

For example, DeFi protocols like Aave and Morpho employed strict collateral standards, safeguarding the market from systemic risks that could lead to a general collapse. Nevertheless, pain points remained, with some stablecoins losing their pegs. USDe, for instance, dropped to $0.65 on certain centralized platforms, resulting in liquidations for traders relying on it for margin.

### A Mixed Recovery

In the aftermath of this profound event, the overall sentiment in the market remained surprisingly resilient. Despite the substantial liquidation figures, spot buying saw steady activity, leading to gradual price recoveries from their worst levels. The forced purging of leverage from the ecosystem could be interpreted as a necessary recalibration—a moment to reflect on the substantial risks inherent in leveraged trading.

As noted by Hunter Horsley, the CEO of Bitwise, this event was one of the most significant liquidation occurrences in Bitcoin’s history, with Bitcoin itself only down approximately 15% post-event—a demonstration of its underlying strength. This observation reinforces a key point: while the crypto market’s inherent volatility can lead to severe downturns and wipeouts, it also features remarkable resilience.

### The Broader Implications

The events of October 10 highlight essential lessons for all participants in the crypto market. First, the volatility and macroeconomic sensitivities that characterize cryptocurrencies suggest that significant liquidation events will continue to occur. Such occurrences can serve a dual purpose: they not only act as painful reminders of the risks associated with excessive leverage but also help to restore balance within the market.

As the industry continues to evolve, so too will the mechanisms by which traders engage with the market. The October reckoning can serve as a catalyst for conversations about how to establish a healthier trading environment, emphasizing the importance of operational excellence, effective liquidity management, and the need for sound risk mitigation strategies.

### Conclusion

In summary, crypto’s October reckoning of 2025 stands as a stark reminder of the risks involved in high-leverage trading, while simultaneously affirming the cryptocurrency market’s resilient nature. This significant liquidation event demonstrated the intricate and often unforgiving ecosystem that defines the cryptocurrency world, reinforcing the need for caution, education, and strategic risk management. As both new and experienced traders navigate this volatile landscape, the lessons learned from such events will be invaluable in shaping their future transactions and strategies. Ultimately, the October reckoning serves not just as a cautionary tale but as an opportunity for growth within the ever-evolving realm of cryptocurrency.

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