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Counterpoint: States Should Skip Risky Bets on Crypto

Counterpoint: States Should Skip Risky Bets on Crypto


States should exercise caution before establishing strategic crypto reserves, as highlighted by the recent actions in New Hampshire. While proponents herald the creation of such reserves as a progressive financial maneuver, a closer examination reveals substantial risks associated with cryptocurrency investments, particularly with public funds.

The crypto market has become a hotbed for political expenditure, with the industry channeling significant amounts into campaign financing for the upcoming 2024 elections. This influx of funds has garnered a wave of support among politicians who are eager to favor “light-touch” regulations aimed at easing the entry of cryptocurrencies into mainstream finance. However, this newfound enthusiasm seems to gloss over the systemic issues that underpinned the catastrophic 2022 crypto market crash, which resulted in a staggering loss of over $2 trillion in investor funds.

Problems such as fraud, double-dealing, shady management practices, and even instances of money laundering have lingered in the crypto sphere, rendering it a treacherous environment for investors. A disproportionate number of the new altcoins introduced—over 50%—are likely to fail, leaving those who invested facing significant losses. Furthermore, statistics indicate that many individuals, contrary to popular belief, have lost money on their cryptocurrency investments.

In fact, last year alone, consumers reported losses of $9.3 billion due to crypto-related financial crimes, a staggering 100% increase from the previous year. Unfortunately, this figure may still underestimate the true scale of the problem, as many victims are reluctant to report due to embarrassment or shame.

This raises a pressing question: Why would any state contemplate designating public funds for setting aside digital assets? Investing in crypto seems akin to stockpiling poker chips with the hope that the outcomes will favor the house in the long run.

Champions of the crypto reserve perspective argue that major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are poised for appreciation. They tout these assets as hedges against inflation or economic instability. However, the reality is often far more complex. Many cryptocurrencies have demonstrated a tendency to correlate closely with traditional financial markets, losing value quickly and unpredictably. Given the volatility and the omnipresent threat of fraud, it becomes difficult to reconcile such high-risk investments with the fiduciary responsibility governments hold to manage public funds wisely.

An ill-advised sense of security may be driving interest in crypto reserves. While on the surface it appears that trading volumes may be healthy, the truth is that widespread skepticism about cryptocurrencies persists. A recent survey indicated that a significant majority of Americans remain wary about the safety and reliability of such investments.

Moreover, the crypto market is heavily influenced by a select group of large investors, often referred to as “whales.” These individuals hold large quantities of cryptocurrencies, presenting additional risk and exposing the broader market to further manipulation. If state governments emerge as guaranteed buyers, they provide an exit strategy for these whales to cash out, while the rest of the market faces downward pressure.

Ironically, the very voices advocating for crypto reserves—typically conservative—have historically opposed similar government intervention in other markets, such as the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Their opposition has generally been based on principles advocating for free-market operations. At least with physical commodities like oil or grain, the stored assets have intrinsic utility. In contrast, finding real-world applications for cryptocurrencies beyond speculative trading remains an uphill battle.

The dark underbelly of the crypto industry is not merely a passing phase; aggressive lobbying and promotion have the potential to ignite another market bubble—a situation that could ultimately lead to even greater financial ruin for unsuspecting investors. Given the absence of fundamental stability and reliability, state governments must position themselves as responsible guardians of public resources, steering clear of the temptations of investing in virtual currencies.

The overarching narrative surrounding cryptocurrency is one of caution and restraint. States should acknowledge the inherent risks of entering the crypto realm and should prioritize prudent management of taxpayer dollars. While the allure of quick gains is undoubtedly tempting, the potential fallout from failed investments raises significant concerns. As more states flirt with the idea of crypto reserves, it is imperative to reflect on the consequences of such actions.

In conclusion, the decision to invest public money in cryptocurrencies holds incredible risks—risks that may ultimately undermine the financial security of taxpayers. Lawmakers across the nation would be wise to confront the siren call of digital currencies that promise more than they can deliver. Responsible governance requires an unwavering commitment to protecting public funds, and this can best be achieved by avoiding reckless ventures into the volatile world of cryptocurrency. Therefore, it is crucial for state governments to reject the notion of establishing strategic crypto reserves and instead devote their resources to initiatives that offer sustainable value and security for their constituents.

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