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A multi-regional input-output database linking Chinese subnational regions and global economies

A multi-regional input-output database linking Chinese subnational regions and global economies

Introduction to Multi-Regional Input-Output (MRIO) Database

In an increasingly interconnected global economy, understanding the economic linkages between regions and countries has become essential. This is particularly true for China, the world’s second-largest economy, which exhibits significant economic diversity across its provinces. The Multi-Regional Input-Output (MRIO) database serves as a crucial tool for analyzing these economic relationships, particularly linking Chinese subnational regions with international economies.

Overview of Data Collection and Structure

The construction of the MRIO database involves a comprehensive framework that captures intricate trade dynamics. The data is compiled using a partial-survey method, relying on over 2 million subnational and international trade data points spanning 30 Chinese provinces and 66 countries or economies. The base year for this data is 2017, encompassing more than 5,200 commodities categorized into 30 economic sectors based on Harmonized System (HS) Codes.

The data collection strategy employs advanced techniques such as web crawling to access "Chinese customs import and export data" as well as utilizing platforms like Alayun and ImportYeti to obtain firm-level import and export logistics data. This extensive dataset forms the backbone of the MRIO tables, which are structured around three primary components: Intermediate Matrix (Z), Final Demand (FD), and Value Added (VA).

Structure and Components of the MRIO Database

The MRIO framework is designed to enhance data consistency and comprehensively link multiple domestic input-output tables. The structure, as illustrated in various figures within the database documentation, outlines how international and subnational components integrate into two key datasets — the Subnational-International Import table (SIC_Import) and Subnational-International Export table (SIC_Export).

Macro-level and micro-level components comprise the primary data processing operations to establish this MRIO. The macro dataset, with over 740,000 records from the General Administration of Customs, and the micro dataset containing firm-specific data, together facilitate robust calculations of trade values across various sectors.

Data Processing: Macro and Micro Perspectives

From a macro perspective, the MRIO enables the calculation of province-country total values for goods and services. This involves analyzing customs data to determine trade relationships and flows, while the service sectors leverage diverse datasets including the China Commerce Yearbook and the World Travel & Tourism Council.

In parallel, the micro approach gains insights from firm-level data to elucidate trade linkages. Techniques such as large language models (LLMs) classify firms by sector and connect product logistics relationships to inter-industry trade. This nuanced examination helps in constructing a detailed transnational sector-sector trade ratio, providing a framework to analyze trade patterns more effectively.

Challenges in Integrating Data

Despite the expansive data framework, significant challenges persist in integrating subnational and international data sets. Data gaps can obscure accurate assessments of trade dynamics, necessitating advanced imputation methodologies to compensate for missing values across provinces. The selected methods aim to preserve data integrity while ensuring adherence to established row-column relationships within the datasets.

Final Demand and Value Added Sections

The MRIO’s Final Demand section estimates the consumer demand for goods and services while the Value Added section evaluates contributions from different sectors to the economy. These calculations illuminate the economic impact across various sectors, reinforcing the importance of detailed sectoral analysis.

Implications and Applications of the MRIO Database

The MRIO database serves several vital functions. Primarily, it aids policymakers and economists in understanding the economic interdependencies within China and its global partners. As trade patterns shift, the ability to model these changes becomes increasingly important for strategic decision-making.

By providing detailed insights into subnational economies, this database enhances our understanding of regional strengths and vulnerabilities, ultimately contributing to more effective regional development strategies. Furthermore, understanding these dynamics is vital in the context of global challenges such as climate change, trade wars, and economic fluctuations.

Conclusion

The Multi-Regional Input-Output database linking Chinese subnational regions with global economies represents a significant advancement in economic analysis. By leveraging comprehensive data sets and sophisticated methodologies, this framework offers invaluable insights into trade relations and economic interdependencies.

In our increasingly interconnected world, the MRIO database stands out as a crucial resource for policymakers, researchers, and businesses alike, enabling them to navigate the complexities of modern economic landscapes with greater clarity and confidence. The ongoing development and refinement of this database will surely continue to enhance our understanding of global trade dynamics and regional economic strategies.

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