7 lower seeds that could upset their NCAA baseball tournament regionals

The NCAA baseball tournament is a much-anticipated event that captivates fans with its thrilling matchups and unpredictable twists. As the brackets unfold, discussions typically focus on the top 16 seeds and their paths to the Super Regionals. Yet, some of the most exciting narratives come from the lower seeds that emerge against all odds. These Cinderella stories remind us that anything is possible in college baseball.

This year’s tournament features several No. 3 and No. 4 seeds with the potential to upset their higher-ranked opponents. Here are seven lower-seeded teams to watch closely, who may just wear that glass slipper when the dust settles.

### No. 3 Western Kentucky

In the Oxford regional, Western Kentucky stands as a formidable challenger. Their junior center fielder, Ryan Wideman, has been a standout, boasting a .408 batting average, which not only led the Conference USA (CUSA) but also placed him 15th nationally. His exceptional season included 89 hits, 64 RBIs, and 42 stolen bases — showcasing his all-around talent.

The pitching staff, spearheaded by sophomore right-hander Drew Whalen, has also been impressive. Whalen earned the accolade of CUSA Pitcher of the Year with a solid 2.84 ERA. While WKU faced a tough loss to Murray State earlier in the year, their recent momentum as conference champions may propel them past higher seeds.

### No. 4 Columbia

Columbia enters the NCAA tournament riding high on a nine-game winning streak. They recently claimed the Ivy League title, defeating Yale while mashing seven homers in the final. Their junior shortstop, Sam Miller, grabbed the Ivy League Player of the Year award, contributing significantly to the Lions’ potent offense.

Despite facing tough competition in the Hattiesburg regional, including Southern Miss and Alabama, their elevated ranking (the highest among No. 4 seeds) and winning momentum may serve them well. Historically, no Ivy League team has advanced to a Super Regional since 1974, but Columbia has shown that they can win games in the tournament, making them one to watch.

### No. 3 East Carolina

East Carolina has experienced an up-and-down regular season but appears to be hitting its stride at the right moment. While earlier in the season their performance was lackluster, their impressive showing in the conference tournament has spotlighted their capabilities. Braden Burress, a freshman second baseman, was named Most Outstanding Player in the tournament, adding to the team’s excitement.

As a program with experience—having made seven NCAA tournament appearances and two trips to the Super Regionals—East Carolina is poised to make a significant impact. Their recent four-game winning streak has bolstered their confidence, making them a potential threat in the Conway regional.

### No. 4 Miami (Ohio)

When it comes to pitching, Miami (Ohio) boasts a strong one-two punch with redshirt sophomore right-hander Cooper Katskee and junior lefty Carson Byers. Katskee earned MAC Pitcher of the Year honors with a stellar 2.66 ERA, while Byers has consistently performed well out of the bullpen.

Although they face stiff competition in the Knoxville regional, where teams like Tennessee and Wake Forest are loaded with talent, the Redhawks’ sharp pitching can make them formidable opponents. With a solid offense averaging .299, their recent success in the MAC tournament gives them the confidence to compete with higher seeds.

### No. 3 Cal Poly

Cal Poly has shown its resilience this season, particularly during the conference tournament where they demonstrated impressive teamwork. Ending the regular season on a four-game win streak and defeating UC Irvine in consecutive games highlights their potential.

The Mustangs’ balanced roster features multiple All-Big West honorees, showcasing diverse talent across the field. Though they have faced challenges against higher seeds in the past, their recent victories indicate growth and readiness for the postseason, making them a team to reckon with.

### No. 4 Murray State

Murray State might be a team that many overlook, but don’t let their seeding fool you. With their last NCAA tournament appearance dating back to 2003, they are determined to make their mark. Led by All-MVC First Team selections Jonathan Hogart and Will Vierling, as well as the MVP of the conference tournament, Dustin Mercer, this team is filled with talent.

Their pitching staff, featuring reliable right-handers Nic Schutte and Isaac Silva, adds depth to their roster. Despite facing tough competition in their regional, their ability to outperform teams like Western Kentucky earlier this season gives them a glimmer of hope.

### No. 3 Stetson

Finally, Stetson enters the tournament with one of the best pitchers in the field—redshirt senior lefty Jonathan Gonzalez. With a 2.18 ERA and a complete game under his belt, Gonzalez provides confidence atop the rotation and has been instrumental in the Hatters’ recent successes.

While they will have to rely on their coach to manage their pitching staff, especially against NC State and the possibility of facing Auburn, Stetson’s strong foundation makes them a dark horse as they push for advancement in the tournament.

### Conclusion

The 2025 NCAA baseball tournament promises to be filled with excitement, especially as lower seeds vie for upsets. The stories of teams like Western Kentucky, Columbia, East Carolina, Miami (Ohio), Cal Poly, Murray State, and Stetson remind us of the unexpected nature of college baseball. With each game, the tournament continues to fuel conversations surrounding underdogs and their potential paths to glory, echoing the unforgettable successes of past Cinderella teams. Keep an eye on these lower seeds, as they may very well be the teams to watch during this quest for a championship title.

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