Fantasy football is a thrilling annual pastime, filled with highs and lows, and the 2025 draft season is no exception. As we approach the pivotal draft weeks, it’s crucial to keep an eye on player movements and shifts in their perceived value. This article looks at the latest risers and fallers as we gear up for the upcoming season, with a primary focus on Jacory Croskey-Merritt, one of the most talked-about players this offseason. Our goal is to provide a balanced view to prepare you for your fantasy football draft.
### Understanding Average Draft Position (ADP)
Before diving into specific player analysis, it’s essential to understand Average Draft Position (ADP). The term “average” can be misleading, especially late in the draft season, as it aggregates data from various drafts, including those earlier in the offseason. Therefore, the most current information about player performances and team strategies may not be fully reflected. This disconnect can lead to misjudgments in player value, making it vital for fantasy managers to stay informed on the latest trends and news.
### Jacory Croskey-Merritt: The Riser to Watch
A standout breakthrough player this offseason has undoubtedly been Jacory Croskey-Merritt. The seventh-round pick has generated significant buzz thanks to the Washington Commanders’ recent transactions, particularly the trade of Brian Robinson Jr. to the San Francisco 49ers. This development has catapulted Croskey-Merritt into the spotlight as he is now in a position to make a meaningful impact in the Commanders’ backfield.
However, while there is excitement surrounding his potential, he remains a player to approach with caution. With only 202 rush attempts and seven receptions in his collegiate career, it may be premature to treat him as a guaranteed starter. Furthermore, established players, including Austin Ekeler and Chris Rodriguez, will still be competing for touches. If Croskey-Merritt falls to Round 9 in your draft, he could be a worthy gamble, but overreaching for him prior to that could lead to disappointment.
### Rookies on the Rise
Rookie running back TreVeyon Henderson is also making headlines. Considered by many as one of the best rookies in the class, he has shown the potential to become a cornerstone of the Patriots’ offense. With a projected ranking of RB15, Henderson is expected to increase his workload as the season unfolds. His current ADP positions him favorably, making him a solid option if you can secure him around Round 3.
Another rookie on the rise is Ricky Pearsall. Currently ranked as WR36, Pearsall might see substantial targets early in the season, especially with Brandon Aiyuk on the Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) list and Jauan Jennings dealing with injuries. Although the San Francisco 49ers’ passing offense has other talented players like George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey, Pearsall’s rapid ascent in ADP complicates projections for when he will be available in your drafts.
### Veteran Insights
While rookies often dominate the offseason headlines, considering established veterans can also yield promising returns. Dak Prescott, for example, has been moved up my draft board in light of recent developments, particularly the addition of George Pickens. He has been projected to throw more than 620 times this season, which solidifies him as a top-tier quarterback. Similarly, Evan Engram has emerged as a more appealing option in tight end rankings. While there may be lingering concerns regarding his age and past performance, recent training camp reports suggest he could outperform expectations.
### The Fallers to Watch
In contrast to the rising stars, some players are experiencing downturns in their draft stock. Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson have faced significant challenges due to the emergence of Braelon Allen, another running back expected to play a critical role in the Jets’ offensive scheme. Due to this competitive environment, Hall may be more of a risk in Round 4, while Wilson’s volatile situation could lead to him slipping to Round 5.
Another concerning case is Jayden Reed. The Packers’ decision to draft Matthew Golden has added uncertainty to Reed’s role, compounded by his recent foot injury. With the team being highly run-heavy in previous seasons, Reed is not a player to draft until late—if at all.
Moreover, Kaleb Johnson has not impressed during the preseason, drifting away from the potential Najee Harris replacement role. This uncertainty can push fantasy managers to lean toward safer options like Jaylen Warren.
Lastly, Tua Tagovailoa’s stock is seemingly declining as well. Factors ranging from ineffective weapons in Miami to ongoing concerns over his concussion history make him less desirable as a borderline QB1. Consequently, it may be wise to pass on him in all one-QB leagues.
### Conclusion
As the 2025 fantasy football draft approaches, keeping an eye on these rising and falling players can be critical to building a winning roster. Jacory Croskey-Merritt stands out as a name to watch closely, alongside impactful rookies like TreVeyon Henderson and seasoned veterans such as Dak Prescott. Conversely, be cautious with players like Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, who are experiencing significant fluctuations in their value.
Adaptability is key in fantasy football. Anticipating draft-day outcomes while staying informed will place you in a strong position to capitalize on these shifts. Conducting thorough research and drafting with intention will enhance your fantasy football experience as you aim for championship glory. Happy drafting!
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